(A simple country lawyer's take on the deeper significance of what has happened - fair warning - a lot more Red Brigade than Daughters of the Revolution.)
What has happened over the the last three decades is that some of the
goals of most American families have been gradually priced out of the
range of the broad middle class. That includes housing and - I must add
- higher education. Brokers created these sub-prime loans because a
huge body of substantial, ordinary Americans couldn't afford debt
service at prime - and prime is just where it has been historically,
floating around six percent. These weren't people on the dole, Navy -
these are grocery clerks, auto mechanics, shoe salesmen, small
businessman, and so on. Two generations ago, after the Second World
War, they could buy a house, take a two week summer vacation at the
beach, and maybe even have a cleaning lady once a week - this on a
single income. Now a huge fraction, maybe the majority, of American
mothers work, and on two incomes, neglecting their children, those families still
can't afford the basics of the American dream.
Let me go
further, as to how serious this is. No one who buys a home gives it up
easily. The homeowners didn't walk away from these debts with a song
and a smile. They defaulted because they can't do it. So if our economy
depends on housing starts and related activity en masse, and the mass
can't afford the homes, what happens?
I will let others far
more knowledgable than I describe the financial chicanery that has
taken place in the major institutions. My broker tells me that a lot of
the trading practices that were banned after the Gret Crash have
surreptitiously been revived. The SEC has been steadily made toothless
by the last four Administrations.
I will also defer to someone
with more economic sense than I have to explain the macro-effects. My
own explanation is the huge transfer of moneys into non-productive
service industries. Doctor's compensation may be sensible, but health
care continues to take an ever large share of GNP. The outrageous packages that financial professionals pay themselves is known to everyone. (The one universal theme I hear from all is that that money has to come back. These guys can't be allowed to row away from the shipwreck, as in the Gericault painting 'Wreck of the Medusa.) Our bloated,
preposterous legal system has become a big, gigantic tick that sucks
way, way too much blood out of it.
(When I quit my solo private
practice at the end of 1989, I charged $125 an hour, and one of my
partners had gone to $140. The big shops were maybe at $250 for
partners, which even then was a scandal. Now it's about $700, which is
just absurd. One of the cases I conducted in a small claims session the
other day involved a lawyer-client case. This ordinary family lawyer
working on routine cases bills at $400 an hour. He received an email
from a client asking for a reference to a CPA - a tenth of an hour for
reading the email, a tenth for sending back a ten word respons , $80.)
But
the bottom line here is that - in my truly humble opinion (in this
case) - the crisis that has emerged is the biggest issue in our
society, the increasing disparity in wealth, poking its snout up from
the mud. Neither the Democrats nor the Republcians ever address the issue - they both report to their respective set of plutocrats. What happened in the last ten years is that we were pretending
that a lot of people who could not afford the lowest common denominator of the Dream . . .actually could, if
we indulged in a little harmless financial manipulation. Well . . . they can't, and we had
better start to ask how this has happened, and to do something about it
- or we will find ourselves living in some sort of bastardied version of Eurpean aristocracy, and
wondering how it happened.
Maybe we already do. That's a glum thought. But these are glum times.
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